Can Texas Voters Help Democrats Gain Control Of The House Of Representatives?

High-profile races in three Texas districts could serve as a barometer of how the Democratic party is doing.

By Rhonda FanningApril 16, 2018 2:15 pm

Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin are all on Democrats’ short list to pick up House seats in the November midterms, but that’s expected when it comes to so-called battleground states. As Frank Bruni of The New York Times notes, Democrats definitely smell blood in the water this year.

As Bruni perused the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee’s wish list for flipping seats, he noticed that there are five Texas House seats that Democrats think they can turn blue in 2018. Currently, Democrats hold only 11 out of 36 House seats in the Texas delegation.

“It is a state, when it comes to statewide elections, that has been very, very unfriendly to Democrats,” Bruni says. “But it is a big, diverse state. There were three districts in Texas in 2016 that preferred Hillary Clinton to Donald Trump but are currently in Republican hands in terms of the House of Representatives, so right there, that suggests that there are opportunities in Texas for Democrats to pick up House seats in 2018.”

The three districts that chose Clinton include District 7, 23, and 32.

District 32’s Rep. Pete Sessions has been in Congress for two decades. In District 23, Rep. Will Hurd is another well-liked Republican.

“However, [Hurd] barely won last time,” Bruni says. “And the question is, in 2018, is Trump disenchantment going to be the difference that takes away that slight edge that he had? The question also is, is Gina Ortiz Jones, who is almost certainly going to be the Democrat facing him, is she going to be the more effective candidate than her Democratic predecessor against Will Hurd?”

Democrats don’t need Texas in order to flip 24 seats and gain control of the House, but Bruni says districts like 7, 23, and 32 make Texas an important weathervane.

“If none of those go to a Democrat, I think that is going to say something about the national climate and I think that is going to tell us that Democrats aren’t getting their 24 seats,” Bruni says. “They don’t need those three seats arithmetically, but metaphorically, spiritually as a barometer of what’s going on, if they get none of those seats they’re in trouble.”

Written by Elizabeth Ucles.